AI for the Energy Sector: Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Metrics with HPC/ML

The day-ahead energy market lets market participants commit to buy or sell wholesale electricity one day before the operating day, to help avoid price volatility. Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices and loads creates basis for decision making in this process. Mr. Milutin Pavićević, a young researcher from the University of Donja Gorica , explored the possibility to utilize artificial neural networks in order to improve the forecasting day-ahead electricity prices and loads based on the historical data. This was the topic of his Master thesis research work done under supervision of professor Tomo Popovic, which finally resulted in a scientific article published in MDPI journal Sensors. The paper is titled ”Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Metrics with Artificial Neural Networks” within the Special Issue Complex Data Processing Systems and Computing Algorithms: New Concepts and Applications.

During this research effort the researchers engaged the domain experts which provided us with generous help in obtaining datasets and understanding the problem of day-ahead consumption, spot price prediction, and the electricity market. The results show the promising efficiency of AI and machine learning for the task of short-term prediction of electricity metrics. With the support of EuroCC Montenegro, the future work will include experimenting on the HPC infrastructure and creation of an industry pilot demonstration for the energy sector.

Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Metrics with Machine Learning